Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia

Adinew Handiso; Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo; Agassa Galdassa

doi:doi:10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia

Adinew Handiso, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo, Agassa Galdassa

Published in Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Volume 10, Issue 5)

Received: 9 September 2022 Accepted: 19 October 2022 Published: 27 October 2022

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Abstract

Globally, annually about 1.35 million people have unnatural deaths and 20 to 50 million people suffer from non-fatal injuries due to road traffic injuries. The road traffic accident contributes to poverty by causing loss of productivity, material damage, injuries, disabilities, grief, and deaths. The aim of this study was to examine trends and identify determinants of road traffic accidents human death in Kembata Tembaro zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. A retrospective cross-sectional study design was employed. Both primary and secondary data were used. The Count models such as Poisson, Negative Binomial and Conway- Maxwell Poisson regression were applied and based on AIC and BIC, Negative Binomial model found to be best model. A total of 284 road traffic accidents have occurred in Kembata Tembaro zone from 2017 to 2020, which resulted in 169 lives loss and 232 serious and minor injuries. The study found that type of vehicle, collision type, driver error, weather condition, and light condition were significantly associated with expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents. Overturning (IRR=1.885; 95% CI: 1.544 - 2.165) and right angle (IRR=0.658; 95% CI: 0.298 -0.957) as a collision type, inexperience (IRR=1.454; 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.227) and too fast (IRR=1.789; 95% CI: 1.149 - 2.785) as driver errors, motor cycle (IRR=1.453; 95% CI: 1.095-1.674) as type of vehicle, fog (IRR=1.520; 95% CI: 1.095 - 2.321) and rain (IRR=1.541; 95% CI: 1.045- 2.513) as weather condition, and day light (IRR=0.948; 95% CI: 0.676 - 0.990) as light condition were determinants of expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Thus, awareness creation has to be made regularly to all parts of society regarding road traffic accident which results in loss of human lives and damage of property. Traffic police should give special attention to drivers who have no experience of driving, and to those who drive too fast. The drivers should be cautious when the weather condition is rainy and/or fog.

Published in	Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Volume 10, Issue 5)
DOI	10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
Page(s)	85-89
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Road Traffic Accident Human Death, Negative Binomial Regression Model, Kembata Tembaro Zone

References

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[3]	World Health Organization. Global launch: decade of action for road safety 2011-2020. World Health Organization; 2011.
[4]	WHO. Global plan: decade of action for road safety 2011–2020. Geneva: WHO, 2010.
[5]	World Health Organization. World health rankings: Live longer live better. World Health Organization web site. 2011.
[6]	WHO. Road Traffic Injuries Home Page: WWW.Who.Int/Violence-Injury-Prevention. 2015.
[7]	Med instruktion för Trafikverket F. Svensk för fattnings samling (2010: 185).
[8]	Ethiopian Federal Police Commission. Road Safety in Ethiopia Case Study. UNECA (2008).
[9]	Persson A. Road traffic accidents in Ethiopia: magnitude, causes and possible interventions. Advances in transportation studies. 2008; 15: 5-16.
[10]	Abuhamoud MA, Rahmat RA, Ismail A. Transportation and its concerns in Africa: a review. The Social Sciences. 2011; 6 (1): 51-63.
[11]	Woldu AB, Desta AA, Woldearegay TW. Magnitude and determinants of road traffic accidents in Northern Ethiopia: a cross-sectional study. BMJ open. 2020 Feb 1; 10 (2): e034133.
[12]	Regesa BH, Mekebo GG. Longitudinal Count Data Analysis of Factors Affecting Epileptic Seizure of Patients in Case of Gondar Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia. American Journal of Bioscience and Bioengineering. 2020; 8 (4): 59-69.
[13]	Pan W. Akaike's information criterion in generalized estimating equations. Biometrics. 2001 Mar; 57 (1): 120-5.
[14]	Argawu AS, Mekebo GG. Risk factors of under-five mortality in Ethiopia using count data regression models, 2021. Annals of Medicine and Surgery. 2022 Sep 22: 104764.
[15]	Aga MA, Woldeamanuel BT, Tadesse M. Statistical modeling of numbers of human deaths per road traffic accident in the Oromia region, Ethiopia. PLoS one. 2021 May 19; 16 (5): e0251492.

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Adinew Handiso, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo, Agassa Galdassa. (2022). Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 10(5), 85-89. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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ACS Style

Adinew Handiso; Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo; Agassa Galdassa. Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Sci. J. Appl. Math. Stat. 2022, 10(5), 85-89. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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AMA Style

Adinew Handiso, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo, Agassa Galdassa. Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Sci J Appl Math Stat. 2022;10(5):85-89. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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@article{10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11,
  author = {Adinew Handiso and Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo and Agassa Galdassa},
  title = {Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia},
  journal = {Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics},
  volume = {10},
  number = {5},
  pages = {85-89},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjams.20221005.11},
  abstract = {Globally, annually about 1.35 million people have unnatural deaths and 20 to 50 million people suffer from non-fatal injuries due to road traffic injuries. The road traffic accident contributes to poverty by causing loss of productivity, material damage, injuries, disabilities, grief, and deaths. The aim of this study was to examine trends and identify determinants of road traffic accidents human death in Kembata Tembaro zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. A retrospective cross-sectional study design was employed. Both primary and secondary data were used. The Count models such as Poisson, Negative Binomial and Conway- Maxwell Poisson regression were applied and based on AIC and BIC, Negative Binomial model found to be best model. A total of 284 road traffic accidents have occurred in Kembata Tembaro zone from 2017 to 2020, which resulted in 169 lives loss and 232 serious and minor injuries. The study found that type of vehicle, collision type, driver error, weather condition, and light condition were significantly associated with expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents. Overturning (IRR=1.885; 95% CI: 1.544 - 2.165) and right angle (IRR=0.658; 95% CI: 0.298 -0.957) as a collision type, inexperience (IRR=1.454; 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.227) and too fast (IRR=1.789; 95% CI: 1.149 - 2.785) as driver errors, motor cycle (IRR=1.453; 95% CI: 1.095-1.674) as type of vehicle, fog (IRR=1.520; 95% CI: 1.095 - 2.321) and rain (IRR=1.541; 95% CI: 1.045- 2.513) as weather condition, and day light (IRR=0.948; 95% CI: 0.676 - 0.990) as light condition were determinants of expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Thus, awareness creation has to be made regularly to all parts of society regarding road traffic accident which results in loss of human lives and damage of property. Traffic police should give special attention to drivers who have no experience of driving, and to those who drive too fast. The drivers should be cautious when the weather condition is rainy and/or fog.},
 year = {2022}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia
AU  - Adinew Handiso
AU  - Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo
AU  - Agassa Galdassa
Y1  - 2022/10/27
PY  - 2022
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
T2  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JF  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JO  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
SP  - 85
EP  - 89
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-9513
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
AB  - Globally, annually about 1.35 million people have unnatural deaths and 20 to 50 million people suffer from non-fatal injuries due to road traffic injuries. The road traffic accident contributes to poverty by causing loss of productivity, material damage, injuries, disabilities, grief, and deaths. The aim of this study was to examine trends and identify determinants of road traffic accidents human death in Kembata Tembaro zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. A retrospective cross-sectional study design was employed. Both primary and secondary data were used. The Count models such as Poisson, Negative Binomial and Conway- Maxwell Poisson regression were applied and based on AIC and BIC, Negative Binomial model found to be best model. A total of 284 road traffic accidents have occurred in Kembata Tembaro zone from 2017 to 2020, which resulted in 169 lives loss and 232 serious and minor injuries. The study found that type of vehicle, collision type, driver error, weather condition, and light condition were significantly associated with expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents. Overturning (IRR=1.885; 95% CI: 1.544 - 2.165) and right angle (IRR=0.658; 95% CI: 0.298 -0.957) as a collision type, inexperience (IRR=1.454; 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.227) and too fast (IRR=1.789; 95% CI: 1.149 - 2.785) as driver errors, motor cycle (IRR=1.453; 95% CI: 1.095-1.674) as type of vehicle, fog (IRR=1.520; 95% CI: 1.095 - 2.321) and rain (IRR=1.541; 95% CI: 1.045- 2.513) as weather condition, and day light (IRR=0.948; 95% CI: 0.676 - 0.990) as light condition were determinants of expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Thus, awareness creation has to be made regularly to all parts of society regarding road traffic accident which results in loss of human lives and damage of property. Traffic police should give special attention to drivers who have no experience of driving, and to those who drive too fast. The drivers should be cautious when the weather condition is rainy and/or fog.
VL  - 10
IS  - 5
ER  -

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Author Information

Adinew Handiso

Department of Statistics, Wachamo University, Hossana, Ethiopia
Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo

Department of Statistics, Ambo University, Ambo, Ethiopia
Agassa Galdassa

Department of Statistics, Ambo University, Ambo, Ethiopia

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APA Style

Adinew Handiso, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo, Agassa Galdassa. (2022). Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 10(5), 85-89. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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ACS Style

Adinew Handiso; Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo; Agassa Galdassa. Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Sci. J. Appl. Math. Stat. 2022, 10(5), 85-89. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

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AMA Style

Adinew Handiso, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo, Agassa Galdassa. Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Sci J Appl Math Stat. 2022;10(5):85-89. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11,
  author = {Adinew Handiso and Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo and Agassa Galdassa},
  title = {Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia},
  journal = {Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics},
  volume = {10},
  number = {5},
  pages = {85-89},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjams.20221005.11},
  abstract = {Globally, annually about 1.35 million people have unnatural deaths and 20 to 50 million people suffer from non-fatal injuries due to road traffic injuries. The road traffic accident contributes to poverty by causing loss of productivity, material damage, injuries, disabilities, grief, and deaths. The aim of this study was to examine trends and identify determinants of road traffic accidents human death in Kembata Tembaro zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. A retrospective cross-sectional study design was employed. Both primary and secondary data were used. The Count models such as Poisson, Negative Binomial and Conway- Maxwell Poisson regression were applied and based on AIC and BIC, Negative Binomial model found to be best model. A total of 284 road traffic accidents have occurred in Kembata Tembaro zone from 2017 to 2020, which resulted in 169 lives loss and 232 serious and minor injuries. The study found that type of vehicle, collision type, driver error, weather condition, and light condition were significantly associated with expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents. Overturning (IRR=1.885; 95% CI: 1.544 - 2.165) and right angle (IRR=0.658; 95% CI: 0.298 -0.957) as a collision type, inexperience (IRR=1.454; 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.227) and too fast (IRR=1.789; 95% CI: 1.149 - 2.785) as driver errors, motor cycle (IRR=1.453; 95% CI: 1.095-1.674) as type of vehicle, fog (IRR=1.520; 95% CI: 1.095 - 2.321) and rain (IRR=1.541; 95% CI: 1.045- 2.513) as weather condition, and day light (IRR=0.948; 95% CI: 0.676 - 0.990) as light condition were determinants of expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Thus, awareness creation has to be made regularly to all parts of society regarding road traffic accident which results in loss of human lives and damage of property. Traffic police should give special attention to drivers who have no experience of driving, and to those who drive too fast. The drivers should be cautious when the weather condition is rainy and/or fog.},
 year = {2022}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Trends and Determinants of Road Traffic Accident Human Death in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia
AU  - Adinew Handiso
AU  - Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo
AU  - Agassa Galdassa
Y1  - 2022/10/27
PY  - 2022
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
T2  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JF  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
JO  - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
SP  - 85
EP  - 89
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2376-9513
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20221005.11
AB  - Globally, annually about 1.35 million people have unnatural deaths and 20 to 50 million people suffer from non-fatal injuries due to road traffic injuries. The road traffic accident contributes to poverty by causing loss of productivity, material damage, injuries, disabilities, grief, and deaths. The aim of this study was to examine trends and identify determinants of road traffic accidents human death in Kembata Tembaro zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. A retrospective cross-sectional study design was employed. Both primary and secondary data were used. The Count models such as Poisson, Negative Binomial and Conway- Maxwell Poisson regression were applied and based on AIC and BIC, Negative Binomial model found to be best model. A total of 284 road traffic accidents have occurred in Kembata Tembaro zone from 2017 to 2020, which resulted in 169 lives loss and 232 serious and minor injuries. The study found that type of vehicle, collision type, driver error, weather condition, and light condition were significantly associated with expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents. Overturning (IRR=1.885; 95% CI: 1.544 - 2.165) and right angle (IRR=0.658; 95% CI: 0.298 -0.957) as a collision type, inexperience (IRR=1.454; 95% CI: 1.04 - 2.227) and too fast (IRR=1.789; 95% CI: 1.149 - 2.785) as driver errors, motor cycle (IRR=1.453; 95% CI: 1.095-1.674) as type of vehicle, fog (IRR=1.520; 95% CI: 1.095 - 2.321) and rain (IRR=1.541; 95% CI: 1.045- 2.513) as weather condition, and day light (IRR=0.948; 95% CI: 0.676 - 0.990) as light condition were determinants of expected number of persons to die in road traffic accidents in Kembata Tembaro Zone, SNNPR, Ethiopia. Thus, awareness creation has to be made regularly to all parts of society regarding road traffic accident which results in loss of human lives and damage of property. Traffic police should give special attention to drivers who have no experience of driving, and to those who drive too fast. The drivers should be cautious when the weather condition is rainy and/or fog.
VL  - 10
IS  - 5
ER  -

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